Joseph Marshan

PhD student at The Australian National University

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I am PhD candidate in economics at Research School of Economics, The Australian National University. My research interest lies between labor economics, gender economics and development economics. My main research topic is female labor force participation in Indonesia.

Latest CV

Research highlights

Labour market effects of bushfires and floods in Australia: a gendered perspective

with Josiah Hickson | Economic Records Volume 98, Issue S1 pages 1-25

We study the labour market effects of bushfires and floods within Australia over the past two decades, focusing on gender as a determinant of vulnerability. Whilst floods unambiguously lifted the labour supply of both genders (creating around 13,500 jobs per year), the likelihood of female employment is particularly vulnerable to bushfires – lowering by 1.6 percentage points (or around 5,000 jobs per year). This effect is partially explained by industry sector, with bushfires lifting overall male employment through industries including mining and transport, whilst reducing more female dominated services-sector participation. We also examine intrahousehold dynamics, finding strongevidence for an ‘added worker’ effect.

[Working paper version]

I investigate the existence of an intergenerational link between women’s labor supply decisions in Indonesia using rich large-scale longitudinal data known as the Indonesia Family Life Survey (IFLS). I employ a permanent component approach (Chadwick and Solon, 2002; Galassi et al., 2019) to estimate the intergenerational correlation between the mother’s lifetime employment and the daughter’s lifetime employment. I find that a mother’s employment affects her daughter’s employment decision in the future.This intergenerational link coefficient is equivalent to more than two additional years of education. I provide evidence that the role-model effects and occupation-specific human capital transfer are the main plausible mechanism behind the intergenerational correlation. The study highlights the challenges of any efforts to improve the female labor supply given a slowly changing social norms society.

intergen
Illustrations only, all credits to roxanabalint . Not taken from my paper.

Unlucky and scarred: long-term consequences of labor market entry condition in Indonesia

I exploit the fact that since the Asian Financial Crisis hit in 1997/1998, Indonesia suffered a spike in the unemployment rate that prolonged for almost a decade. I collect and harmonize a long series of Indonesian labor market surveys (SAKERNAS) spanning over 30 years to construct a pseudo-panel cohort of new labor market entrants from 1990 to 2019. Following Kahn (2010) and Oreopoulos et al. (2012), I exploit exogenous temporal variation of the unemployment rate at the national level and province level to test the existence of scarring effects. I find evidence of a scarring effect where a 1 percentage point increase in the unemployment rate at the year of labor market entrance causes about 15% loss in probability to be employed full-time and about 26% potential monthly income loss. I find women and men share similar burdens in terms of negative employment effects, but larger negative income effects for women.

scarr

Contact:

Crisp Building, Rm 2075
College of Busines and Economics
25a Kingsley St.
Acton, ACT, 2601
Australia

Email: joseph.marshan@anu.edu.au
Twitter: @josephmarshan
Linkedin: jmarshan

SMERU profile
ANU webpage